Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Stefano Napolitano vs Facundo Mena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f685e51051f81afb2e63ed186ce79219eb8037cfa097778272b6ceaea80dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Menaof Stefano Napolitano, Facundo Mena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0457…4403backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 13,148$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.75 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Facundo Mena | 76c | 11,978$9,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.44 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Facundo Mena | 57c | 4,011$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Stefano Napolitano | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 2,582$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.3 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefano Napolitano | 14c | 1,797$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Facundo Mena | 36c | 1,322$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.29 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Facundo Mena | 72c | 997.2$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Facundo Mena | 61c | 786.55$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 31c | 747.42$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Facundo Mena | 35c | 710.17$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 661.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Facundo Mena | 36c | 445.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Stefano Napolitano | 67c | 380.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Facundo Mena | 36c | 375.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Facundo Mena | 60c | 372.69$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Stefano Napolitano | 52c | 369.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 308.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 51c | 270.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Stefano Napolitano | 31c | 257.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 33c | 235.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 208.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Stefano Napolitano | 32c | 197.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 178.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Facundo Mena | 58c | 169.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 155.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Facundo Mena | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Facundo Mena | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 138.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Facundo Mena | 77c | 138.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Facundo Mena | 35c | 125.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 121.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 112.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 108.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Stefano Napolitano | 31c | 98.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefano Napolitano | 34c | 96.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 96.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…57bfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 89.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…614cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 84.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 83.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 82.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 82.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 82.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…1ae5backed Stefano Napolitano | 17c | 81.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 81.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Facundo Mena | 56c | 77.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 69.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Stefano Napolitano | 62c | 64.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 62.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Facundo Mena | 53c | 57.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 66c | 53.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 53.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 48.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…48babacked Stefano Napolitano | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Facundo Mena | 68c | 38.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Stefano Napolitano | 46c | 33.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Facundo Mena | 67c | 30.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 30.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Facundo Mena | 35c | 30.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Stefano Napolitano | 63c | 29.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Stefano Napolitano | 67c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Stefano Napolitano | 65c | 25.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 24.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 253 | 66.8%169 W · 84 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Facundo Mena | 60c | 24.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Stefano Napolitano | 65c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Stefano Napolitano | 60c | 22.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 20.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Luis Potosi: Stefano Napolitano vs Facundo Menathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Napolitano vs MenaMena won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.