Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae7401648985580c1abb40f65cfd2cf3b190dfdfc94088e86bc41c46dfea5d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Martina Trevisan, Sinja Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Martina Trevisan | 36c | 25,507$9,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,261.52 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…c4a3backed Martina Trevisan | 38c | 14,087$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Martina Trevisan | 4c | 10,640$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Martina Trevisan | 41c | 9,988$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 7,404$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.13 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 7,110$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.41 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Sinja Kraus | 68c | 6,070$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.4 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martina Trevisan | 9c | 5,643$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinja Kraus | 63c | 5,629$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Martina Trevisan | 38c | 2,615$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.23 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinja Kraus | 64c | 2,342$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martina Trevisan | 22c | 2,090$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Martina Trevisan | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Martina Trevisan | 17c | 967.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…2ec9backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 877.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martina Trevisan | 30c | 774.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Martina Trevisan | 25c | 720.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sinja Kraus | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martina Trevisan | 20c | 583.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sinja Kraus | 62c | 573.62$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Martina Trevisan | 24c | 511.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…553ebacked Sinja Kraus | 69c | 489.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Martina Trevisan | 26c | 467.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martina Trevisan | 31c | 429.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinja Kraus | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 383.32$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sinja Kraus | 64c | 323.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…f321backed Martina Trevisan | 27c | 321.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Martina Trevisan | 30c | 293.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 292.65$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Martina Trevisan | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Martina Trevisan | 26c | 258.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinja Kraus | 63c | 252.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 250.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Sinja Kraus | 74c | 242.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martina Trevisan | 5c | 210.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Martina Trevisan | 32c | 201.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Sinja Kraus | 61c | 200.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Martina Trevisan | 40c | 197.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Martina Trevisan | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Martina Trevisan | 19c | 183.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Martina Trevisan | 17c | 179.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…2381backed Martina Trevisan | 12c | 179.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Martina Trevisan | 23c | 178.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Martina Trevisan | 33c | 172.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Martina Trevisan | 32c | 146.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sinja Kraus | 66c | 144.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Sinja Kraus | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Martina Trevisan | 10c | 124.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 118.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 117.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Martina Trevisan | 26c | 105.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…e891backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 100.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Sinja Kraus | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Martina Trevisan | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Martina Trevisan | 12c | 97.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 94.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sinja Kraus | 71c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Martina Trevisan | 26c | 83.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Sinja Kraus | 65c | 83.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Martina Trevisan | 16c | 68.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 68.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Sinja Kraus | 59c | 67.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 52.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…3bccbacked Martina Trevisan | 37c | 52.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…88cbbacked Sinja Kraus | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Martina Trevisan | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Sinja Kraus | 64c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 44.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Martina Trevisan | 29c | 41.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…8803backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 33.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed Sinja Kraus | 73c | 31.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…e8a1backed Sinja Kraus | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 85 | 75.3%64 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Sinja Kraus | 77c | 24.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 234 | 68.8%161 W · 73 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Sinja Kraus | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…c4c3backed Sinja Kraus | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…11bcbacked Sinja Kraus | 65c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…ac1bbacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…ab59backed Sinja Kraus | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Sinja Krausthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Trevisan vs KrausKraus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.