Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26194b7a38accb5771af5b1d412dfca86014389583de2a0b6bd754c911b9971b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 3,394$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 1c | 3,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 2,957$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 9c | 1,713$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 1,415$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 1,414$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.23 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.99 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 14c | 1,029$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 5c | 643.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 545.04$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 64c | 541.35$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.69 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 41c | 514.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 11c | 493.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 33c | 399.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 375.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 11c | 345.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 33c | 309.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 307.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 26c | 303.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 66c | 300$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 13c | 281$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 277.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 15c | 260.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 253.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 247$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 224.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 184.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 56c | 179.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 26c | 161.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 11c | 152.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 146.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…a6a1backed No | 14c | 144.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 34c | 121.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 49c | 118.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 118.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 64c | 107.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 64c | 107.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 55c | 106.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 104.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 90.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 70.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 35c | 65.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 64.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 35c | 57.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 47c | 53.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…74a0backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 35c | 46.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 66c | 44.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 33c | 44.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 64c | 40.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 39c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 64c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Yes | 33c | 32.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 40c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 64c | 26.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 65c | 22.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 66c | 18.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 66c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.