Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008cef06430007b8e13616b576a89aaddaf6555e93932d33606edba104296bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,152$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.67 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 73c | 1,557$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 31c | 1,020$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…7936backed Yes | 60c | 975$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.46 | 107 | 84.1%90 W · 17 L | +30.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 974.7$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.93 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 677.63$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.3 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 623.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 64c | 457.57$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 21c | 375.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked No | 9c | 370.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 354.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 343.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 32c | 311.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +12.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 28c | 299.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 66c | 275.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 6c | 258.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 6c | 256.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 250.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…4d38backed Yes | 10c | 242.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b96…3a38backed Yes | 31c | 223.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 36c | 222.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…74ebbacked Yes | 43c | 217$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 204.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 201.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 24c | 195.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…d937backed Yes | 31c | 194.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 194.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 73c | 183.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 178.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…737abacked Yes | 59c | 161.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 161.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 32c | 152.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 71c | 143.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 7c | 143.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 43c | 141.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 15c | 134.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 123.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 31c | 119.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 68c | 115.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 17c | 112.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 111.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…9ac6backed Yes | 33c | 110.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 33c | 110.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 38c | 109.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 10c | 107.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Yes | 68c | 107.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked No | 70c | 106.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 34c | 105.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 75c | 101.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked Yes | 28c | 100.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 32c | 100.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…1c7fbacked Yes | 28c | 97.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…fa6abacked Yes | 29c | 97.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 15c | 97.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 30c | 95.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 28c | 94.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 31c | 91.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 31c | 90.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 18c | 90.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17c…6390backed Yes | 31c | 90.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 66c | 86.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…d6f6backed Yes | 29c | 80.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 71c | 80.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…68afbacked Yes | 24c | 79.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 63c | 75.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…5735backed Yes | 21c | 72.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 64c | 69.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddb…4b77backed No | 71c | 68.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 67.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 33c | 66.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 30c | 65.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 41c | 65.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 47c | 64.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 71c | 63.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 28c | 63.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…e2bcbacked Yes | 28c | 62.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked No | 75c | 61.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 29c | 61.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed No | 62c | 60.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…c3e5backed Yes | 39c | 60.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 27c | 60.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 42c | 58.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…0e6ebacked Yes | 30c | 58.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 36c | 58.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 34c | 57.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 33c | 56.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 70c | 55.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed No | 71c | 54.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…8e95backed No | 68c | 53.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…51d3backed Yes | 37c | 53.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed Yes | 49c | 52.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 51.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed No | 75c | 50.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 28c | 50.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.