Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea6be9adc84e4a696dfd1db689c4817103a0754330a40433eff889db68e8d8c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 1c | 17,281$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b96…3a38backed Yes | 2c | 16,350$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…1c7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,915$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…c617backed Yes | 1c | 1,984$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 37c | 1,819$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Yes | 1c | 1,530$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 58c | 1,165$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…c3e5backed Yes | 2c | 956.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked No | 42c | 941.64$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.53 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 48c | 859.68$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 28c | 730.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.07 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +12.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 47c | 549.79$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 47c | 531.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…d158backed Yes | 76c | 516.75$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 25c | 434.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 70c | 415.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 46c | 410.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 320.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 49c | 319.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 37c | 318.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…a796backed Yes | 66c | 298.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 26c | 287$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 281.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 268.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 45c | 253.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 45c | 249.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 55c | 241.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked No | 22c | 230.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 48c | 225.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 47c | 211.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed No | 44c | 206.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 50c | 197.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…e3e5backed No | 60c | 194.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…737abacked No | 35c | 194.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 48c | 192.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 48c | 185.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 51c | 185.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 44c | 178.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 166.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked Yes | 57c | 165.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 65c | 148.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…32c9backed Yes | 38c | 144.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked No | 8c | 136.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 59c | 134.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 53c | 114.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 52c | 111.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 49c | 111.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…adeabacked Yes | 50c | 109.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed No | 67c | 109.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 44c | 104.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 53c | 103.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 47c | 100.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 38c | 99.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 45c | 98.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…544abacked Yes | 59c | 98.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 60c | 97.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 43c | 96.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 45c | 95.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…070cbacked No | 57c | 95.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 43c | 94.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 52c | 94.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 64c | 93.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 93.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 52c | 92.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 54c | 87.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 55c | 85.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 50c | 83.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 59c | 83.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…7760backed Yes | 46c | 82.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 53c | 81.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…9ac6backed Yes | 50c | 78.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 54c | 78.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 16c | 77.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 55c | 73.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 50c | 72.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 45c | 72.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…64cebacked Yes | 68c | 71.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…6bdcbacked Yes | 50c | 70.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 42c | 70.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…00c1backed No | 50c | 68.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 46c | 68.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…74cfbacked Yes | 58c | 68.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…1ac2backed Yes | 46c | 68.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 53c | 68.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 58c | 67.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 74c | 66.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 56c | 66.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 48c | 66.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…7f86backed Yes | 40c | 64.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 63.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 50c | 63.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 61.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.