Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00b70ca1551ecfea5560158b986818fc2638230192323cb253500f22ecf9bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 11c | 2,363$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…e636backed Yes | 1c | 2,313$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 16c | 2,300$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.28 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 20c | 1,649$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 13c | 967.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…1990backed Yes | 12c | 838.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 80c | 686.9$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 14c | 673.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 13c | 640.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 559.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 19c | 518.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 464.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 14c | 459.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 13c | 410.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 407.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 9c | 365.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 9c | 344.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…5d37backed Yes | 10c | 340.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 324.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 17c | 318.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 20c | 311.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 14c | 296.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 20c | 243.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 9c | 236.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…65d1backed Yes | 16c | 224.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 14c | 222.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 11c | 210.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 208.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 13c | 207.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 10c | 206.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 17c | 202.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…e0f1backed Yes | 12c | 200.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 18c | 198.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 76c | 197.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 12c | 193.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 189.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 20c | 177.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 18c | 173.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 167.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…8b8cbacked Yes | 14c | 160.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…519dbacked No | 80c | 156.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 11c | 151.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…246dbacked Yes | 18c | 150.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 19c | 149.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 12c | 149.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…6c4ebacked Yes | 19c | 147.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 20c | 145.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 140.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 15c | 132.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…28eebacked Yes | 14c | 132.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 14c | 130.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 13c | 116.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 16c | 112.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 16c | 112.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 13c | 108.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…506bbacked Yes | 12c | 107.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…a32abacked Yes | 24c | 104.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…93cbbacked Yes | 19c | 98.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 19c | 95.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 19c | 88.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…e886backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 86.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 17c | 86.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…f224backed Yes | 16c | 78.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9e6fbacked No | 80c | 76.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 19c | 73.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 17c | 69.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 15c | 69.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 80c | 62.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 20c | 59.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 20c | 56.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…c278backed No | 77c | 53.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…a111backed Yes | 21c | 53.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…18f8backed No | 75c | 53.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…a4a0backed No | 77c | 52.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…6882backed Yes | 21c | 48.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2676…32bbbacked No | 74c | 43.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1c…5d37backed No | 77c | 42.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd72…9a13backed No | 77c | 41.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…5ac3backed No | 80c | 32.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…fa6abacked No | 78c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…6f63backed No | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…04f0backed No | 80c | 25.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…e71ebacked No | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 77c | 18.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 80c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.