Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84304a672ce5a324f1fdb34ebb38f376bf3f1cc3d91e2aa8e1a5cb27fc7dd9d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 30c | 1,606$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.95 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,387$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.1 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 561.45$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 387.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 298.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 238.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 23c | 190.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 169.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 160.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 145.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 128.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 41c | 109.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 40c | 98.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 42c | 84.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Yes | 23c | 63.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 20c | 63.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 73c | 59.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 25c | 56.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 76c | 56.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Yes | 31c | 52.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 51.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 42.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 71c | 29.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 71c | 17.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.