Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e193b64b5278f5487a3d28070ac90a7b383c3c236497fff3f4dd8774986fc00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,990$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 1,566$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed No | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 490.26$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.22 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 31c | 449.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 415.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 299.96$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 299.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…b282backed Yes | 22c | 271.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 72c | 191.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 76c | 171.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 23c | 159.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 25c | 149.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 19c | 149.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 75c | 138.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…2a69backed Yes | 25c | 99.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 77c | 96.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 93.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 47c | 93.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 46c | 93.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 18c | 73.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 68c | 72.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 70c | 69.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 66.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 24c | 64.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 24c | 55.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 23c | 52.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 63c | 49.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 75c | 47.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 26c | 44.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 76c | 39.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 38.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 36.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 76c | 35.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 79c | 33.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 79c | 33.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 44c | 32.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 46c | 28.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 77c | 20.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 77c | 18.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab7…9451backed Yes | 64c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb4…ba5bbacked Yes | 74c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.