Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2638ed628355f8d9904c70ce5c4db2eb9da4fc060c42f601191f90fb0bd64b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 51c | 8,928$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 31c | 5,567$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fffdbacked Yes | 49c | 5,549$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 4c | 1,692$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,602$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 1,051$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 666.84$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 532.47$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 45c | 443.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 11c | 435.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 52c | 413.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 361.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 356.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 71c | 334.73$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 71c | 329.48$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 301.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 281.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 32c | 266.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 48c | 255.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 247.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 247.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 247.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 55c | 244.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 48c | 204.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 202.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 53c | 197.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 145.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 12c | 91.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 77c | 86.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked No | 65c | 82.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 60c | 78.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 79c | 68.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed No | 52c | 60.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 56.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 25c | 50.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 69c | 49.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 48c | 49.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked No | 55c | 48.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 48.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 39c | 41.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 36.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 48c | 34.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…913bbacked Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed No | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 52c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 70c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 52c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.