Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33cec1ad83768c95c32345baaa17df571abf64c36ae04fa1e9f1ac492f66f4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 3,454$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed No | 34c | 3,361$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 15c | 3,128$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.76 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 1,688$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 44c | 830.16$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.07 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 825.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.56 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 749.49$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.49 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 612.78$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +271.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 5c | 565.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 70c | 558.28$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 79c | 554.03$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 469.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 36c | 451.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 78c | 300.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…d005backed Yes | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 34c | 280.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 80c | 272.04$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee6…438abacked No | 32c | 239.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 68c | 216.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 209.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 41c | 170.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked No | 30c | 166.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 148.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 140.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 35c | 137.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 134.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked No | 15c | 129.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 126.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 71c | 110.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…5616backed Yes | 16c | 98.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 71c | 96.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 49c | 96.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 22c | 95.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…d1c1backed Yes | 70c | 88.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 15c | 79.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 30c | 78.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…8671backed Yes | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 40c | 66.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed No | 37c | 65.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed No | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked No | 52c | 56.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed No | 37c | 40.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 58c | 40.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 36c | 37.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 57c | 34.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed No | 41c | 30.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 30.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…f293backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked No | 64c | 29.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…3683backed Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…a308backed Yes | 71c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed No | 41c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked No | 60c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 61c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 71c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 71c | 14.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Rangers FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.