Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef60612a08d5e6a09008ff72f76fe898a388ba57a1a39f9631e1d5cc672608a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf16…b409backed No | 1c | 1,417$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 323.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 240.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 164.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 99.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 98.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 68c | 86.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 74c | 72.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 31c | 69.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 26c | 53.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 62c | 52.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 41.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 35.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 29.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 25.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 52c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 61c | 21.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 50c | 20.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?this page
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.