Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b5d7152bb9c9a4bf96f6630e035027ef62fb74b7d7d4e8257861b24870187db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 3,639$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,068$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 57c | 2,917$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 29c | 1,439$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.21 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,289$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,268$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 27c | 570$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 45c | 566.64$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…23d9backed Yes | 37c | 442.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 436.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 289.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 13c | 222.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 18c | 216.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 13c | 121.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 98.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 45c | 96.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 37c | 94.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 86.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 55c | 85.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 80.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…0d02backed Yes | 14c | 73.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 60.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 53.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…dd82backed Yes | 45c | 32.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 55c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.