Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1565cdb190b852cfbb0ba1ab7274d64d9de005577f678fbff47d72543df51b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 6c | 4,790$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 4,034$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.72 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 2c | 3,090$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 1,919$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.53 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 1,808$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.84 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 8c | 1,154$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 61c | 822.59$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.02 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 815$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.21 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 43c | 727$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.55 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 668.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 45c | 665.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 45c | 662.01$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 46c | 547.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 57c | 473$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 336.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 59c | 316$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 215.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 75c | 213.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 49c | 202.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…98ecbacked Yes | 59c | 199.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 165.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 158.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 19c | 144.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 43c | 136.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 63c | 118.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Yes | 59c | 108.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 102.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 61c | 100.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 90.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 63c | 89.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 86.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 84.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 68c | 77.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 77.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 68c | 74.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 41c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed No | 31c | 57.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 57.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 66c | 57.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 29c | 54.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes | 41c | 47.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 67c | 43.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 42c | 41.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…4515backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 67c | 37.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 69c | 33.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 54c | 29.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 63c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 63c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 17.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed No | 63c | 16.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 63c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 63c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d1…b169backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.