TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No47c42,361$19,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,464.7513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No53c11,600$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,433.8214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes53c7,479$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c6,375$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.6477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes54c6,111$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes52c5,577$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9004656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c5,080$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.213,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes53c5,063$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6804751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes52c4,617$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4028946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c3,791$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.7123643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes54c2,639$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c2,093$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.4747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes52c2,051$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…c55abacked No46c1,742$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c1,617$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.0199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Yes53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes46c1,478$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+119.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes54c1,319$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c1,306$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57218655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+54%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes49c989.25$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.733145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc9…551fbacked No48c955.17$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes52c799.81$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.456546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No47c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No51c522$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7813046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c519.69$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.041,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c479.35$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No51c381.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No49c261.4$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.312642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No69c210.2$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.768971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed No48c208.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.931546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes54c191.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.619052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes52c173.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No51c153$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.054447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c130.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked No48c124.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No55c124.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3424859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c113.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No50c102.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0812254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes46c101.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.692070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No48c100.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.656443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No47c97.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.645255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.323858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd453…458ebacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No66c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1820535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No47c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.244250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.511441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes48c79.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes17c72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c69.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.371,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked No49c63.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No48c62.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5917858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3815144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19c3…8525backed No51c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7420648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1427…859fbacked Yes49c55.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No48c55.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.977456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes50c55.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.642931%9 W · 20 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked No47c50.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No48c50.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.252352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.495263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed No54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes53c45.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.079848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63bb…2115backed No47c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c42.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes47c42.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes54c40.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes51c36.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154040%16 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.