Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00ac49283de6567b58fa9ddc24261584c91aa17b23efa04aa61ef36a67cb052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 11,728$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 75c | 10,775$8,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 26c | 2,740$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 864.63$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 661.57$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 542.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 26c | 413.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 26c | 260.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 241.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 219.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 65c | 218.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 209.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 16c | 199.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 193.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 191.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 32c | 189.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 160.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 104.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 103.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 84.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 72c | 83.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 36c | 83.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 79.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes | 34c | 59.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 24c | 53.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 73c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…800dbacked Yes | 36c | 33.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 74c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.