Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad8297be170ffc35b562e41297c35ab5886f90953151f94847dfb73513a55b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 26c | 11,433$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,504.37 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 5,129$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.96 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 2,801$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,205$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.96 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 1,864$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 1,266$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.52 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 22c | 835.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 21c | 619.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.41 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 21c | 586$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.94 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 30c | 580.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.54 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 493.52$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 447$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 436$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 39c | 434.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 39c | 434.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 39c | 423$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.03 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 26c | 347$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 22c | 314.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.19 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 39c | 273.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 21c | 217.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 214.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 32c | 202$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 25c | 199$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 54c | 170.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 22c | 154.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 115.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 113$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 21c | 103$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 42c | 99.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 62c | 91.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 72c | 80.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Yes | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +120%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 61.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 79c | 59.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 58.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…8f70backed Yes | 22c | 57.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 56.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 35c | 50.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 23c | 48.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 48c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 22c | 45.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 29c | 43.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 42.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…770fbacked Yes | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 35.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…356dbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.