Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b26a540c2272f7eaa10ecc907afac7da7a60e5af17edf90ecdc31d8da37a6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 1,367$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 67c | 849.07$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 779.79$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.83 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 751.07$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.1 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 698.92$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…b35abacked Yes | 49c | 692.37$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 20c | 675.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 671.04$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 547.95$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 6c | 537.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 523.65$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 33c | 455.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…67f0backed Yes | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked No | 57c | 386.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.36 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 50c | 218.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed No | 57c | 197.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 56c | 179.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 30c | 162.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 42c | 147.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 144.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 135.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 107.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 76c | 99.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 73c | 87.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 39c | 83.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 78c | 81.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 43c | 74.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 62c | 64.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 61.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 74c | 60.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 56c | 58.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 48.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 42c | 38.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 56c | 33.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 33.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 74c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked No | 68c | 29.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 27.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 52c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked No | 45c | 22.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 63c | 21.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 57c | 17.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.