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South American Leagues · resolved market

CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under33c51,128$16,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,753.74238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over67c12,688$8,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.171,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over67c7,803$5,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.428,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over68c3,204$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2752649.8%262 W · 264 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa624…eb73backed Over68c3,159$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over67c1,949$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over67c1,949$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2233560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over67c1,938$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over67c1,938$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over67c1,844$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over67c1,824$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.0912361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over66c1,326$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.52,17543.6%948 W · 1,227 L-56.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under35c1,161$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0613234.1%45 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over67c1,093$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7928158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over66c925$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over67c730.96$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over67c728.8$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Over67c661.65$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.343050%15 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over67c646.22$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2516759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6c…8ce4backed Over67c438.9$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.84862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over67c392.11$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.47957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over67c321.17$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.998350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Over67c312.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.196369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over67c302.78$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9219056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over67c294.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0411763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over68c260.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over67c250.05$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.172,64854.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over68c206.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1523542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over67c192.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over67c167.19$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.174362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over67c154.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.134255%188 W · 154 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over68c151.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over67c147.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over67c146.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2618859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over67c146.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2216160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over67c145.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7815457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over67c145.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.995156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over67c145.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.911656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over71c140.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.891687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over68c115.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over68c108.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.15860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over67c108.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.333458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over67c102.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.798964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c98.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5383642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over67c95.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over67c73.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.134761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over67c72.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0815654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over67c68.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.648045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked Over67c66.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over68c62.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.217857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Over68c59.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.872969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f01…15afbacked Over67c57.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e1…23d9backed Under30c56.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Over67c49.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over67c49.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0916859.5%100 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over72c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7287521.3%186 W · 689 L-83.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9221659.7%129 W · 87 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over62c46.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4811664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b9…dffdbacked Over67c45.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Over66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8512259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over67c41.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.755362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c01…59a0backed Over67c41.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over67c40.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.257867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0716041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8693…ebd0backed Over67c36.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.548851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Over68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7780…c0ddbacked Over67c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Over73c33.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.883256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Over67c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.244454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Over67c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.244156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over68c21.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8128665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce10…6f4cbacked Over67c20.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c0d…a6d4backed Over67c20.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over72c20.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.744360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over72c20.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.746159%36 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb15…2084backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over68c19.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.394153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Over67c19.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.54850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over67c19.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.537955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over68c19.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.287052.9%37 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over67c19.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4419264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Over67c17.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+65.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cee…1b15backed Over67c15.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d1…7211backed Over67c15.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.02988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.