South American Leagues · resolved market
CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd50fee3277bf5f44224de41bcd412920cf0b61a0403771764d679453179b84cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Under | 59c | 90,915$53,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,938.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 50c | 13,656$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 12,295$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.28 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 41c | 9,338$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.77 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 40c | 8,586$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 6,476$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 41c | 3,689$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.19 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 40c | 2,762$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 42c | 2,525$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.48 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 40c | 2,156$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.15 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 41c | 1,783$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.13 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 1,772$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.18 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 41c | 1,772$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.18 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 41c | 1,650$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.14 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 40c | 1,627$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.64 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 40c | 1,624$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.25 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 43c | 1,489$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.78 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 1,434$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.37 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 41c | 1,194$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 41c | 1,184$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.11 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 41c | 1,097$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 43c | 1,074$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,037$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 43c | 1,031$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.81 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 40c | 1,023$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.71 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 43c | 1,017$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.12 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 62c | 866.87$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 58c | 807.25$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.98 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 41c | 690.96$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…e521backed Under | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 40c | 594.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 37c | 489.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 414.96$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 41c | 359.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 43c | 309.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 41c | 236.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 42c | 234.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 41c | 234.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 41c | 233.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 41c | 231.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 42c | 230.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 42c | 227.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 40c | 221.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 41c | 217.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 44c | 208.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 207.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 204.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 41c | 186.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 41c | 175.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 41c | 168.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 41c | 164.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 40c | 162.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Over | 41c | 157.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 42c | 140.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Over | 40c | 124.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 42c | 121.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed Over | 41c | 115.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 42c | 115.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 42c | 114.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 41c | 112.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 65c | 112.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 41c | 106.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 66c | 103.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 41c | 101.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 58c | 100.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 41c | 98.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…5a49backed Over | 42c | 94.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 47c | 93.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…db82backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 40c | 91.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 40c | 90.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 42c | 89.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 41c | 86.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 86.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 41c | 82.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Under | 60c | 81.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 40c | 78.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 41c | 67.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 42c | 64.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 42c | 63.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Over | 40c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 42c | 60.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 42c | 60.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5this page
- CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CDP Junior FC won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CDP Junior FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.