TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Recoleta FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over36c80,547$28,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,987.534238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under64c57,652$36,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,754.871650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over38c26,839$10,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,084.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under63c9,548$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.6751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c8,200$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.198,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under62c7,866$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.258643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c3,702$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.571,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under62c2,233$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.683754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c1,799$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.432,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under64c1,250$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.124362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under64c958.59$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under64c952.17$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.7757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under64c952.1$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under64c952.1$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.712361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under64c930.22$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under58c898.94$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8433745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under64c816.53$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6416759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c688.45$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.61,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under63c673.5$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.47955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under64c664.65$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0419056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under5c640.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.245,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under63c555.79$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2311763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c544.8$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9133658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under63c535.01$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under63c521.77$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under62c513.37$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.351,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under64c512.32$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under64c509.63$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c453.14$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.852,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under64c428.96$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4918859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under70c369.8$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0372350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under40c344.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.479248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c314.82$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.532,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under63c286$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.579854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under64c252.88$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.98961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under62c244.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.882171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under63c239.89$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under63c221.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Under27c221$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+131.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under62c207.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.620059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under62c206.37$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8816653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under64c195.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4419659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under63c180.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under64c172.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.119457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under62c169.7$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7816160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Over39c168.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.831457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under62c163.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under62c156.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8717857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under22c153.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.073151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under64c153.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.757867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under64c152.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under63c152.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.195156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.043467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under63c125.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.347857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c119.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.113,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under64c114.6$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.255860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under71c111.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8510465.4%68 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under62c109.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4234155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…7bd5backed Under62c108.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over37c94.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9983642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under64c81.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.325172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under62c78.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6444959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under62c78.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.644761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under62c78.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6415654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Under63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.719256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under63c77.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5824253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bae…e81ebacked Under64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under62c74.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Under63c74.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under63c72.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.053458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Under64c65.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c62.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0811664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under60c62.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.881850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Under64c57.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.772969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under63c56.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over41c56.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.345339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under62c56.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over69c54.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.576352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under64c49.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.757156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under32c47.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+67.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under62c46.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6712259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over46c45.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.078247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2598…17dfbacked Under63c43.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef4…7ed6backed Under54c41.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under62c39.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.688851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under62c39.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.768647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Under64c33.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under62c32.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.454854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b74…1e21backed Under62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under63c31.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5810943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Under64c30.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.872095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under62c29.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under63c28.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.72871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under74c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1729245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under64c26.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4719264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under63c26.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7628665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under64c24.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce10…6f4cbacked Under62c24.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.