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Lol · resolved market

LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,006 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eca…5a59backed LGD Gaming36c29,916$10,770 inWon+$19,145.974146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LGD Gaming36c29,640$10,805 inWon+$18,834.811,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked EDward Gaming63c20,303$12,791 inLost-$12,790.855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LGD Gaming47c17,071$8,039 inWon+$9,032.111,03047%484 W · 546 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed EDward Gaming63c15,728$9,954 inLost-$9,954.391,21854.3%661 W · 557 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming47c11,387$5,305 inWon+$6,082.341,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LGD Gaming47c9,953$4,649 inWon+$5,303.512,00548.3%969 W · 1,036 L+25.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed EDward Gaming64c9,819$6,284 inLost-$6,284.3556056.4%316 W · 244 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed EDward Gaming50c8,698$4,344 inLost-$4,343.8131036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed LGD Gaming36c7,972$2,870 inWon+$5,102.3965254.9%358 W · 294 L+25.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed EDward Gaming64c7,913$5,064 inLost-$5,064.182652.8%436 W · 390 L+42.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked LGD Gaming35c7,655$2,679 inWon+$4,975.4367760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming37c7,434$2,750 inWon+$4,683.273,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed EDward Gaming63c7,118$4,450 inLost-$4,449.731,17749.4%581 W · 596 L-16.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed EDward Gaming63c6,139$3,853 inLost-$3,853.131,61353.8%868 W · 745 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked EDward Gaming63c6,057$3,815 inLost-$3,815.1770456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed LGD Gaming38c5,911$2,246 inWon+$3,664.7332440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed EDward Gaming54c5,610$3,022 inLost-$3,021.631,64240.2%660 W · 982 L+48.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed EDward Gaming64c5,566$3,562 inLost-$3,562.321,01153.9%545 W · 466 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed EDward Gaming56c5,400$3,035 inLost-$3,034.7290646.8%424 W · 482 L+43.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked EDward Gaming59c4,875$2,889 inLost-$2,888.8712664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked LGD Gaming45c4,603$2,073 inWon+$2,530.8813165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked EDward Gaming62c3,921$2,447 inLost-$2,447.3667056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked EDward Gaming64c3,914$2,505 inLost-$2,504.750040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked EDward Gaming63c3,911$2,464 inLost-$2,464.061,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed EDward Gaming41c3,849$1,589 inLost-$1,588.617155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed EDward Gaming58c3,682$2,118 inLost-$2,118.1916254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed EDward Gaming64c3,469$2,235 inLost-$2,234.531,46657.6%844 W · 622 L+38.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed EDward Gaming65c3,463$2,251 inLost-$2,250.851,08947.3%515 W · 574 L+3.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EDward Gaming52c3,053$1,601 inLost-$1,601.171,27237.6%478 W · 794 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming38c3,000$1,140 inWon+$1,86096450.1%483 W · 481 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed EDward Gaming50c2,910$1,455 inLost-$1,45546347.7%221 W · 242 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed EDward Gaming21c2,903$608 inLost-$608.2955939.4%220 W · 339 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed EDward Gaming5c2,800$140 inLost-$1405893.6%21 W · 568 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed EDward Gaming56c2,676$1,489 inLost-$1,489.0841451.4%213 W · 201 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed EDward Gaming62c2,616$1,622 inLost-$1,622.1745666.2%302 W · 154 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LGD Gaming53c2,575$1,373 inWon+$1,201.6573237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed LGD Gaming52c2,556$1,326 inWon+$1,229.2782543.3%357 W · 468 L+29.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d92…0b17backed EDward Gaming63c2,426$1,524 inLost-$1,524.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed EDward Gaming65c2,374$1,531 inLost-$1,531.441,32455.7%738 W · 586 L+43.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed LGD Gaming59c2,284$1,337 inWon+$946.9515356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed EDward Gaming65c2,174$1,413 inLost-$1,413.331,48561.3%910 W · 575 L-21.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LGD Gaming36c2,143$779 inWon+$1,364.6152848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LGD Gaming50c2,132$1,061 inWon+$1,070.031,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed LGD Gaming46c2,077$947 inWon+$1,129.3550749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed LGD Gaming38c2,053$779 inWon+$1,274.1122624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed EDward Gaming65c2,007$1,305 inLost-$1,304.5282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked EDward Gaming51c2,000$1,020 inLost-$1,019.9923252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked EDward Gaming54c2,000$1,090 inLost-$1,089.999129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EDward Gaming62c2,000$1,245 inLost-$1,244.971,03252.4%541 W · 491 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked EDward Gaming46c1,995$916 inLost-$915.5696951.3%497 W · 472 L+42.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked EDward Gaming12c1,969$242 inLost-$241.811,69659.5%1,009 W · 687 L+101.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed LGD Gaming37c1,899$703 inWon+$1,196.378746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed EDward Gaming56c1,757$980 inLost-$979.881,83239.2%718 W · 1,114 L-30.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked EDward Gaming56c1,732$975 inLost-$974.7313333.8%45 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed EDward Gaming65c1,713$1,114 inLost-$1,113.6164653.4%345 W · 301 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed EDward Gaming64c1,665$1,065 inLost-$1,064.927156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed LGD Gaming52c1,662$865 inWon+$797.1321756.7%123 W · 94 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LGD Gaming50c1,565$790 inWon+$774.9569539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e2…5588backed EDward Gaming29c1,519$443 inLost-$442.96369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed EDward Gaming63c1,467$924 inLost-$924.022,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked EDward Gaming64c1,461$935 inLost-$934.881,23954.5%675 W · 564 L+51.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed EDward Gaming44c1,373$599 inLost-$599.147843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed LGD Gaming77c1,355$1,039 inWon+$315.5526062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed EDward Gaming65c1,286$836 inLost-$836.0371249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed EDward Gaming58c1,276$739 inLost-$738.686443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed EDward Gaming61c1,251$763 inLost-$763.315543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2371…d59fbacked LGD Gaming66c1,191$785 inWon+$405.472748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LGD Gaming38c1,183$451 inWon+$731.52,26137.3%843 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…c749backed EDward Gaming57c1,116$633 inLost-$633.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed EDward Gaming23c1,000$230 inLost-$23094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed LGD Gaming37c1,000$370 inWon+$63057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed EDward Gaming62c999.97$620 inLost-$619.981,81751.1%929 W · 888 L+52.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed LGD Gaming49c996.17$485 inWon+$511.5859647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed EDward Gaming51c977.47$495 inLost-$494.8926859.3%159 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LGD Gaming69c959.96$662 inWon+$297.5898527.8%274 W · 711 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LGD Gaming43c932.64$399 inWon+$533.162,74535.9%986 W · 1,759 L-155.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked EDward Gaming11c908$100 inLost-$99.88166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed LGD Gaming38c900$340 inWon+$5601,25849.9%628 W · 630 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked EDward Gaming56c875.99$487 inLost-$486.6726155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed LGD Gaming37c874$323 inWon+$550.6235243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LGD Gaming37c837.95$314 inWon+$524.2186144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EDward Gaming37c790.55$295 inLost-$295.062,38841%978 W · 1,410 L-56.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fab…e336backed LGD Gaming47c784.04$368 inWon+$415.5410143.6%44 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LGD Gaming37c780.16$289 inWon+$491.51,34053.2%713 W · 627 L+38.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…ede3backed EDward Gaming47c764.36$363 inLost-$362.784264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked EDward Gaming48c750$360 inLost-$3601,23648.5%600 W · 636 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked LGD Gaming36c736.87$265 inWon+$471.630856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LGD Gaming43c730.8$316 inWon+$415.211,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2987…bfe9backed LGD Gaming70c712.22$499 inWon+$212.857162%44 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed EDward Gaming64c699.56$448 inLost-$447.7257754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed EDward Gaming38c691.13$260 inLost-$260.287368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked EDward Gaming57c683.65$390 inLost-$389.6815657.1%89 W · 67 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce15…43b7backed EDward Gaming52c679$353 inLost-$353.2912970.5%91 W · 38 L+16.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked EDward Gaming55c659.99$363 inLost-$3633148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed LGD Gaming53c658.99$351 inWon+$307.5328350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76d5…f86cbacked EDward Gaming46c656.84$300 inLost-$299.619136.3%33 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed EDward Gaming56c639.19$355 inLost-$355.4786758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed EDward Gaming21c627.87$135 inLost-$134.9514035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb063…fa55backed EDward Gaming65c602.46$392 inLost-$391.65759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.