Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335376e08270f41efdd6cf0339c3cc1b509a1acea9ec1496908846356da7da85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 43c | 10,146$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.68 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 58c | 8,531$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.96 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 59c | 5,715$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.16 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 5,162$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.81 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 46c | 3,855$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.1 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 54c | 3,460$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.53 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 41c | 1,070$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.89 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 41c | 1,058$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.85 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 1,025$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.42 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 43c | 999.83$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.93 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 41c | 799.91$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.96 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 41c | 694.51$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Over | 47c | 675.68$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.57 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 41c | 665.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 41c | 576.2$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Over | 45c | 429.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 47c | 391.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Over | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Over | 47c | 294.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 41c | 271.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Over | 47c | 265.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Under | 55c | 52.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…9e14backed Under | 59c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.