TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof EDward Gaming, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,547 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2307…3934backed LGD Gaming60c20,000$12,000 inWon+$8,00054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming40c9,639$3,856 inLost-$3,855.6153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed EDward Gaming40c4,097$1,639 inLost-$1,638.848440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked EDward Gaming40c4,097$1,639 inLost-$1,638.89129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked EDward Gaming38c1,917$738 inLost-$738.1167056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming62c998.44$614 inWon+$384.496250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LGD Gaming61c888$542 inWon+$346.321,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked EDward Gaming40c674.8$270 inLost-$269.9228852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked LGD Gaming64c458.63$294 inWon+$165.118967.4%60 W · 29 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed EDward Gaming40c385.6$154 inLost-$154.244346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed EDward Gaming39c382.73$149 inLost-$149.2616346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked EDward Gaming39c376.26$147 inLost-$146.741,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked EDward Gaming39c283.96$111 inLost-$111.1122336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked LGD Gaming61c160.1$98 inWon+$62.4449346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed EDward Gaming45c156.31$70 inLost-$70.2516346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked LGD Gaming73c131.1$96 inWon+$35.1416668.7%114 W · 52 L+22.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed LGD Gaming60c122$73 inWon+$48.828652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming56c116.92$65 inWon+$51.442,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed EDward Gaming40c96.4$39 inLost-$38.5612640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f1…21fabacked LGD Gaming60c91.92$55 inWon+$36.775543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked LGD Gaming61c80.56$49 inWon+$31.4216853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed LGD Gaming61c50$31 inWon+$19.562649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed EDward Gaming40c49.41$20 inLost-$19.7661150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed EDward Gaming40c48.19$19 inLost-$19.2874849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed EDward Gaming39c48.17$19 inLost-$18.7913842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed LGD Gaming63c47.17$30 inWon+$17.4527247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed EDward Gaming40c45.9$18 inLost-$18.3614246.5%66 W · 76 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed LGD Gaming61c40.02$24 inWon+$15.612157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked LGD Gaming58c33.99$20 inWon+$14.424356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5413…73aabacked EDward Gaming40c28.92$12 inLost-$11.572544%11 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked EDward Gaming40c27.5$11 inLost-$1116254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed LGD Gaming60c25.05$15 inWon+$10.026063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed EDward Gaming40c25$10 inLost-$101,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc845…a654backed LGD Gaming61c24.01$15 inWon+$9.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecc…af6cbacked LGD Gaming61c23.76$14 inWon+$9.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed LGD Gaming60c23.31$14 inWon+$9.3239056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed LGD Gaming64c15.9$10 inWon+$5.7214454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.