Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394f8d7e895d6bc2c8831b7fb5d117aaca413fbd66e15588c8a64072c661be65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 52c | 3,145$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.72 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Over | 4c | 2,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 48c | 1,039$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 40c | 622.4$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.91 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 60c | 486.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Over | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 440.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 58c | 297.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 42c | 287.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 274.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 270.24$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 60c | 252.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…9c50backed Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 53c | 108.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Under | 44c | 67.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 53c | 60.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 49c | 57.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 51.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 54c | 45.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 70c | 30.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Over | 69c | 28.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.