Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf990ee1095ade05e3598f16201f6a30c775f3da869d4db620dca360227d66bba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof BBL Esports, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked BBL Esports | 34c | 11,294$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.75 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic | 66c | 3,403$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 64c | 2,993$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.26 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Fnatic | 64c | 1,964$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.46 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 66c | 1,464$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed BBL Esports | 44c | 1,341$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 61c | 1,322$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.45 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Fnatic | 65c | 1,090$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.73 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked BBL Esports | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked BBL Esports | 48c | 974.63$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.08 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked BBL Esports | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Fnatic | 67c | 543.45$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Fnatic | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fnatic | 67c | 497.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Fnatic | 48c | 489.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…1db7backed Fnatic | 68c | 440.18$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 50c | 372.87$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic | 71c | 325.11$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Fnatic | 66c | 251.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed BBL Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BBL Esports | 46c | 185.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Fnatic | 54c | 175.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BBL Esports | 36c | 162.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic | 65c | 150.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed BBL Esports | 36c | 127$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked BBL Esports | 34c | 125.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed BBL Esports | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BBL Esports | 45c | 91.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed BBL Esports | 29c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BBL Esports | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed BBL Esports | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked BBL Esports | 18c | 54.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BBL Esports | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BBL Esports | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed BBL Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked BBL Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked BBL Esports | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BBL Esports | 44c | 36.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed Fnatic | 63c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Fnatic | 64c | 25.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked BBL Esports | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked BBL Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fnatic | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.