Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547c9318f0d90aa5daa1148e77d6f8afd56ab48f0dad9e72272ed9a7a81f304c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Gentle Mates, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 7,735$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.47 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 4,934$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.41 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Heretics | 69c | 3,496$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.77 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 53c | 2,710$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.07 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Heretics | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 1,904$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.01 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed Team Heretics | 74c | 1,486$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.83 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 913.19$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 778.51$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.35 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 760.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Heretics | 72c | 654.81$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Team Heretics | 73c | 642.74$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Heretics | 78c | 521.62$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Heretics | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Heretics | 42c | 481.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 292.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 178.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Heretics | 72c | 159.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Team Heretics | 50c | 141.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…beb0backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 136.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…57ddbacked Team Heretics | 59c | 134.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gentle Mates | 31c | 129.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Gentle Mates | 31c | 124.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 113$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 109.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics | 68c | 91.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 87.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 84.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Heretics | 70c | 79.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Heretics | 43c | 71.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Team Heretics | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 63.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 60.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 53.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 53.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 53.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 48.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked Team Heretics | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…890dbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Heretics | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…c072backed Team Heretics | 44c | 26.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c191backed Team Heretics | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 24.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics | 66c | 21.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…4c02backed Team Heretics | 55c | 18.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Team Heretics won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.