TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs David Goffin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chun-Hsin Tsengof Chun-Hsin Tseng, David Goffin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed David Goffin27c13,728$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.242,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng49c10,321$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.526,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed David Goffin51c10,000$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.6743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Chun-Hsin Tseng44c7,458$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.125453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked David Goffin45c6,529$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.492,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng36c4,582$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.931,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed David Goffin45c3,787$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7007368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed David Goffin52c3,665$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.753,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Chun-Hsin Tseng59c2,815$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.393948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked David Goffin55c2,645$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.945451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Chun-Hsin Tseng51c1,474$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2938652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Chun-Hsin Tseng55c1,422$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8220045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng39c1,394$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.9239238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Chun-Hsin Tseng46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng48c1,097$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.552,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked David Goffin53c1,085$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.0420554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed94…fd08backed David Goffin60c1,045$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9715…e33ebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng52c965.62$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked David Goffin32c912.18$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed David Goffin70c857.14$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…dda7backed David Goffin12c854.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked David Goffin61c811.85$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.632,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed David Goffin52c705.25$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.154,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc400…f991backed David Goffin73c668$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.033354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed David Goffin41c600$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2436639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed David Goffin60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked David Goffin73c521.25$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38220758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked David Goffin58c504.85$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.691,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Chun-Hsin Tseng40c498.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked David Goffin57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.84,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed David Goffin42c410.82$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed David Goffin55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed David Goffin53c367$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9937342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed David Goffin53c336$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.931,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng52c319.88$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.612,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked David Goffin54c298.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0612952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed David Goffin61c279.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16919653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed David Goffin73c269.52$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3717955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked David Goffin54c265.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.91,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Chun-Hsin Tseng46c251$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Chun-Hsin Tseng48c250.71$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.311,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed David Goffin54c246.49$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13367239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed David Goffin52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0328835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Chun-Hsin Tseng79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng54c185.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7864537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng41c183.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3954348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed David Goffin55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked David Goffin55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012360.2%74 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Chun-Hsin Tseng45c178$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Chun-Hsin Tseng39c172.3$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.272452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda49…152ebacked David Goffin60c155.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.581154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Chun-Hsin Tseng40c155$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9353058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed David Goffin54c155$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6134744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed David Goffin59c149.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.841,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Chun-Hsin Tseng49c144.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.111454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked David Goffin60c132.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2929461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Chun-Hsin Tseng40c129.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9925546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed David Goffin23c127$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2118540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Chun-Hsin Tseng40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Chun-Hsin Tseng40c124.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9937238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07be…c126backed David Goffin55c121.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed David Goffin61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed David Goffin49c102.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Chun-Hsin Tseng47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5326541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…9da8backed Chun-Hsin Tseng32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed David Goffin53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng47c97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng46c96.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.42,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed David Goffin54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95da…a2acbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed David Goffin55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked David Goffin60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed David Goffin33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.458438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng46c79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Chun-Hsin Tseng40c73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed David Goffin55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked David Goffin70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed David Goffin55c71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0524547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Chun-Hsin Tseng43c70.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1222949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked David Goffin49c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked David Goffin56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.689364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Chun-Hsin Tseng42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5221847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…6deebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed David Goffin51c57.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1320953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked David Goffin61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…fa37backed David Goffin61c47.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng67c42.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.144,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed David Goffin61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed David Goffin58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.327,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked David Goffin61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.428462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng52c39.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed David Goffin54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chun-Hsin Tseng36c36.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.623,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked David Goffin55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203268.8%22 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Chun-Hsin Tseng44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.648852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed David Goffin62c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5414949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed David Goffin60c34.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216958%40 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Chun-Hsin Tseng46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3638048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng72c33.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2831153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed David Goffin61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.