Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b73bd4d460694911e2ed81d2c0c639764f60a9ac287d2d7eac403e2a2b3155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 26,844$14,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,238 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 21,127$9,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,235.51 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 12,576$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.42 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 10,158$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382.07 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 4,695$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.41 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 3,077$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.24 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 1,804$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 917.95$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.69 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 840.79$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 826.05$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.55 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 560.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.56 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 433.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 387.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 378.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Bowling Green Falcons | 40c | 377.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 237.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 223.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 218.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 184.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 171.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 134.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 111.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 109.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 105.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 102.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 74c | 95.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 89.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0a6cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 89.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 57c | 86.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bowling Green Falcons | 53c | 77.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed Bowling Green Falcons | 57c | 73.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 69.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 50.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…f2d6backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 45.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 39.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)this page
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 153.5Over won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.