TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
George Washington Revolutionariesof George Washington Revolutionaries, La Salle Explorers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries54c7,601$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.9312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked La Salle Explorers44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.823243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed La Salle Explorers49c3,885$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.5744549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed George Washington Revolutionaries57c1,157$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3723754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed La Salle Explorers47c949.41$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2284147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries51c525.08$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.222,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked La Salle Explorers47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed George Washington Revolutionaries53c495.11$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4218846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked La Salle Explorers41c218.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5827048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed George Washington Revolutionaries59c121.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.057450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…1da8backed George Washington Revolutionaries59c120.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…4793backed George Washington Revolutionaries52c96.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.392857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed La Salle Explorers29c51.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed George Washington Revolutionaries56c35.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.586555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…817ebacked La Salle Explorers47c30.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked La Salle Explorers44c22.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0348551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked George Washington Revolutionaries51c22.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9129650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed George Washington Revolutionaries54c19.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.