South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31782e41d607765ec1a39a22f603742f9d2495033eca86473d382138d15bc28c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 16,648$9,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,111.11 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 42c | 13,408$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 43c | 12,355$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 5,264$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 959.47$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 741.1$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.55 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 57c | 653.49$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 635.66$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 58c | 590$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 32c | 406$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 39c | 333.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 273.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 58c | 228.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 46c | 219.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 44c | 218.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 58c | 197.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 176.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 133.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 131.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 43c | 128.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 119.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…7b2fbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 61c | 115.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 84.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 59c | 65.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 58c | 52.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…9d50backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Yes | 39c | 36.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 36.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Yes | 43c | 36.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 60c | 35.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.