South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25faccc3cb9a1fd01189d5f1fe3884411654406494862e5da7bdc69c8f989de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 74c | 9,100$6,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,734.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 3,522$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.91 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,050$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,583$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,471$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 1,457$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.75 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,182$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 70c | 1,042$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 47c | 800$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 53c | 790$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 64c | 783.6$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 60c | 719.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 564.98$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.64 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 483$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 400.88$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 314.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 62c | 254.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 250.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 198.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 14c | 145.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 143.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 25c | 121$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 112.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 30c | 100.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 76c | 68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 75cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Yes | 65c | 46.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 44.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed No | 77c | 41.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 35.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked No | 52c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked No | 75c | 30.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 68c | 27.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1a87backed Yes | 63c | 23.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed No | 58c | 23.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 67c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 76c | 18.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.