Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7651a2de5c3656dddd3d47168714894e6be084a295bea4d833c56824ffaafa95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Over | 0c | 5,201$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 25c | 1,683$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.86 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 895.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 74c | 648.9$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 28c | 611.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…5c06backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 12c | 407.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 27c | 346.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 17c | 182.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…e749backed Over | 28c | 179.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 177.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Over | 10c | 152.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 70c | 148.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 21c | 107.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 26c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 25c | 42.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 74c | 28.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Under | 75c | 26.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 75c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 75c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.