Euroleague · resolved market
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda198a230b5b8adefedaa5fddab1ff5ebae08ca58b115259f5fa64114d9337f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shanghai Sharks, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 8,338$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.08 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Shenzhen Leopards | 29c | 2,435$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 23c | 2,134$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 29c | 2,009$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 20c | 1,587$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.24 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Shenzhen Leopards | 18c | 1,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 966.69$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 22c | 932$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 831.1$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 35c | 758.24$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 605.87$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shenzhen Leopards | 25c | 413.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 23c | 221.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 153.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 20c | 123.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 118.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 102.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shenzhen Leopards | 18c | 100.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 18c | 99.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shenzhen Leopards | 22c | 99.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 98.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shenzhen Leopards | 28c | 79.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Shenzhen Leopards | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shenzhen Leopards | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 62.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 61.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…8812backed Shanghai Sharks | 69c | 57.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Shenzhen Leopards | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Shenzhen Leopards | 27c | 49.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Shenzhen Leopards | 25c | 41.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Shenzhen Leopards | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 43c | 33.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 24.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Shanghai Sharks | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Shanghai Sharks | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.