TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Auburn Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auburn Tigersof Texas Longhorns, Auburn Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf35…b5eabacked Texas Longhorns29c8,282$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.1312147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers70c3,677$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.2812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas Longhorns27c3,006$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Auburn Tigers73c3,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80010448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Auburn Tigers72c2,583$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.3311252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers61c2,534$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Texas Longhorns48c1,632$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7903638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Longhorns36c1,110$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.13,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Auburn Tigers53c1,095$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.762,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers71c852$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.344,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Auburn Tigers72c730.07$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9674152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers64c614.95$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Longhorns4c606.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Auburn Tigers72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Auburn Tigers72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.561,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Auburn Tigers71c540$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.616051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Auburn Tigers71c539.65$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Longhorns49c530.13$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Longhorns29c521$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.221,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Texas Longhorns29c483$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.322,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Texas Longhorns47c428.72$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Auburn Tigers70c408.26$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.376248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Texas Longhorns59c372.9$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Auburn Tigers49c369.38$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Auburn Tigers71c353.22$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.431,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers43c347.74$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.072,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Texas Longhorns7c337$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2112537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Texas Longhorns60c300$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17923028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas Longhorns29c299.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.991,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Texas Longhorns8c283.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.437020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Auburn Tigers68c281.51$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.333,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas Longhorns27c281$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.872,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Longhorns27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Texas Longhorns38c205.26$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Texas Longhorns49c189.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4419057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Auburn Tigers45c176.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Auburn Tigers63c176$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1265825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Texas Longhorns27c161.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.525946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Longhorns29c156$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.241,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Auburn Tigers70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4526740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Auburn Tigers70c145.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.189144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Auburn Tigers39c143.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Longhorns50c139.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.091,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Auburn Tigers41c133.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Auburn Tigers69c133.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.086550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Longhorns52c130.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.123,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1214…5a19backed Auburn Tigers39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Texas Longhorns42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas Longhorns59c112.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.961,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Texas Longhorns42c111.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9144955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Texas Longhorns29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Texas Longhorns26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Longhorns28c99.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Texas Longhorns57c98.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793d…5a89backed Auburn Tigers51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Auburn Tigers72c97.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Auburn Tigers72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.225158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Longhorns46c84.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.851,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Auburn Tigers37c83.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.711,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Auburn Tigers72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2124649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Auburn Tigers72c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Auburn Tigers71c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1791848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Auburn Tigers61c57.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Texas Longhorns29c52.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.337648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Texas Longhorns40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4d2e…78b1backed Auburn Tigers44c48.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.941546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Auburn Tigers55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd485…871fbacked Texas Longhorns43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Texas Longhorns50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Texas Longhorns37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Longhorns51c39.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Auburn Tigers52c34.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Texas Longhorns62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Texas Longhorns50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Texas Longhorns65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x922b…35e5backed Auburn Tigers69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Auburn Tigers74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Auburn Tigers66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…68b7backed Auburn Tigers72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Auburn Tigers71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.