Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2b4b5a9342e698a201fc77ba64a39062c9a03304c5ae66f91cbf14dcfbe2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Dark Passage, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Dark Passage | 52c | 7,184$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Dark Passage | 5c | 5,100$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -96.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked SU Esports | 48c | 5,080$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…eee6backed Dark Passage | 1c | 5,039$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed SU Esports | 48c | 2,119$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Dark Passage | 8c | 1,600$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed SU Esports | 61c | 1,273$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.63 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed SU Esports | 69c | 1,123$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.61 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Dark Passage | 47c | 1,060$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed SU Esports | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Dark Passage | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Dark Passage | 55c | 782.66$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.15 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SU Esports | 46c | 756.96$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed SU Esports | 31c | 669.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.62 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked SU Esports | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dark Passage | 54c | 477.47$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.54 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Dark Passage | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed SU Esports | 51c | 355.56$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked SU Esports | 33c | 305.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked SU Esports | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed SU Esports | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Dark Passage | 45c | 141.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…41b3backed SU Esports | 80c | 137.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed SU Esports | 44c | 113.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…cccdbacked Dark Passage | 10c | 110.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dark Passage | 51c | 103.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed SU Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed SU Esports | 55c | 98.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed SU Esports | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked SU Esports | 66c | 89.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked SU Esports | 55c | 86.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Dark Passage | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Dark Passage | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed SU Esports | 62c | 64.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…1fbfbacked SU Esports | 41c | 61.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Dark Passage | 39c | 60.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…a398backed Dark Passage | 46c | 58.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Dark Passage | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…849ebacked Dark Passage | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Dark Passage | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dark Passage | 35c | 32.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Dark Passage | 39c | 32.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed SU Esports | 51c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed SU Esports | 66c | 25.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…528abacked Dark Passage | 58c | 24.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 47cpaid | -84%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed SU Esports | 66c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.