Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89db671aae358730d8a6c416037ff9280369152024f0a3ca7ed4cadc98063ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Dark Passage, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Dark Passage | 14c | 15,372$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.91 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Dark Passage | 66c | 2,869$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.85 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed SU Esports | 24c | 2,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.13 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed SU Esports | 47c | 1,276$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.8 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked SU Esports | 63c | 1,194$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.36 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Dark Passage | 36c | 1,163$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Dark Passage | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Dark Passage | 19c | 899.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked SU Esports | 66c | 804.68$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.59 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed SU Esports | 79c | 655.41$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed SU Esports | 44c | 582.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.69 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Dark Passage | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Dark Passage | 34c | 442.86$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed SU Esports | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…eee6backed SU Esports | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed SU Esports | 11c | 238.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed SU Esports | 30c | 224.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed SU Esports | 11c | 174.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked SU Esports | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked SU Esports | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 354 | 57.9%205 W · 149 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked SU Esports | 50c | 169.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed SU Esports | 67c | 147.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Dark Passage | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed SU Esports | 13c | 124.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed SU Esports | 17c | 122.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Dark Passage | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…41b3backed SU Esports | 12c | 99.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…849ebacked SU Esports | 66c | 98.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed SU Esports | 66c | 97.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Dark Passage | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Dark Passage | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed SU Esports | 28c | 87.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed SU Esports | 17c | 78.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed SU Esports | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dark Passage | 65c | 66.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Dark Passage | 47c | 65.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Dark Passage | 31c | 64.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…9c86backed SU Esports | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…3691backed SU Esports | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SU Esports | 55c | 48.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked SU Esports | 66c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b917backed Dark Passage | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed SU Esports | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed SU Esports | 65c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed SU Esports | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…58b1backed SU Esports | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.