Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 128.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadfed2c224611a2aed134d0fda94e4bc8ccea112fd17cc4e701c578bd8d22343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.97 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 2,971$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 2,540$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.68 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Under | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 52c | 457.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 410.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 49c | 395.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Under | 49c | 380.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 49c | 369.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 49c | 158.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 146.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 49c | 119.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 49c | 99.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Under | 49c | 96.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 49c | 91.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 49c | 80.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 49c | 69.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Under | 49c | 60.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 49c | 59.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 49c | 58.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…742abacked Under | 49c | 56.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 49c | 56.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Under | 49c | 53.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 49c | 46.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3296backed Under | 49c | 43.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…8edbbacked Under | 49c | 41.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…02e7backed Under | 49c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…e0e4backed Under | 49c | 39.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Under | 49c | 37.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…843ebacked Under | 49c | 36.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Under | 49c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Under | 49c | 34.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed Under | 49c | 33.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 49c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 49c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Under | 49c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…519dbacked Over | 54c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…f773backed Under | 49c | 21.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed Under | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 20.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 128.5this page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Canisius Golden GriffinsMarist Red Foxes won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-10.5)Canisius Golden Griffins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.