Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51ec56c80c3800015ee65f82d0409b30018ad7575e1829a3478b4071750d209

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $120,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over	53c	38,872$20,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,269.84	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	52c	10,381$5,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,934.49	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	47c	8,000$3,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,760	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	7,705$3,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,593.46	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	47c	6,000$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,820	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	47c	4,927$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300.06	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under	45c	4,835$2,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,175.75	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over	53c	4,747$2,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,231.16	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	3,767$1,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.34	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	47c	3,500$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	3,258$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.2	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	48c	2,508$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.63	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	2,248$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.33	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over	52c	1,994$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	1,918$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.02	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	1,740$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.78	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Over	64c	1,522$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.01	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	41c	1,092$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.35	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	47c	900$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under	45c	879.84$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.93	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	56c	808.09$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.56	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	47c	800$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	47c	800$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	47c	800$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over	57c	799.76$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.83	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	60c	701$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.4	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under	48c	687.57$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.03	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under	32c	671.44$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.86	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	42c	618.78$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.08	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	581.38$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.05	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over	49c	569.84$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.62	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	47c	559.99$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.19	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	47c	550.01$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.69	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over	53c	493.67$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.03	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	52c	466.92$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.12	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	47c	459.36$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.85	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under	10c	448.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	47c	420$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.4	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	47c	394.61$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.47	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over	39c	385.36$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.07	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under	45c	367.46$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over	42c	344.54$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.52	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	51c	329.91$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.66	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	41c	321.98$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.69	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under	48c	302.75$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.32	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	47c	295$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.65	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under	10c	284.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	34c	282.47$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over	53c	275.04$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.27	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	48c	255.28$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.53	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	47c	254.99$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.37	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	48c	254.87$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.54	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	51c	234.62$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.96	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	48c	234.45$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.54	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	47c	213.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.22	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over	71c	211$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.19	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under	49c	207.73$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.79	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b9…34ccbacked Under	49c	205.79$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Over	51c	199.35$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.68	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over	52c	194.24$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.24	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under	45c	193.4$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.03	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	55c	193.22$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.95	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda5…2bf0backed Over	52c	191.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Over	51c	188.28$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.26	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-5.2wins	-0.24per pick	55cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over	56c	173.86$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over	65c	172.94$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.53	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	47c	151.4$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.16	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	132	56.1%74 W · 58 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	256	59.4%152 W · 104 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over	52c	149.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.99	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	46c	147.01$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over	71c	138.39$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	77cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over	78c	126.51$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	64cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	63c	124.39$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.09	83	66.3%55 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	44c	121.39$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over	56c	121.21$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over	52c	112.06$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.79	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under	45c	107.44$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	39c	103.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.43	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	99.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.49	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	46c	98.86$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	72c	98.43$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.02	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over	55c	97.3$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event