TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,776 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over53c80,879$43,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,181.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under47c71,491$33,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,126.061770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over52c36,199$18,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,782.953844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under48c28,334$13,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,741.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c19,801$9,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,461.1222652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under36c12,953$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,290.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c4,977$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.8398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c4,942$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.0330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over53c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8551353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over54c2,112$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.519336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c1,953$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.446946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c1,469$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6619849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under49c1,065$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.282751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over44c1,030$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over55c917.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over51c836.99$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.862025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over47c817.13$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.561136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over51c779.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c616.67$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Over53c577.36$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over52c576.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c575.96$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.54753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26510160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c470$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.923551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c447.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c362.05$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8314755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c345.87$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0934937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over53c300.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.817048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over22c299.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.981915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c265.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.078048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over53c254.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over47c214.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.934854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c214$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.282263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b3…3f47backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffa…df8ebacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c4b…22aebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over50c201.87$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over51c196.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over53c195.09$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d2…bac3backed Over52c191.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over53c189.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.344245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under75c177.63$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.74647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x897c…314cbacked Under50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc953…8a15backed Over52c153.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over35c151.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…ddd2backed Under48c151$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d4…125ebacked Over58c148.62$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3efb…f509backed Over52c142.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe004…54f1backed Under48c142$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under49c140.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.092748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over74c135.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5b…dcf0backed Under48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c3…d56fbacked Under48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80f…0d74backed Over52c129.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fc…b4e6backed Over52c127.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9d…6652backed Under50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over56c125.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c120.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.136823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over52c113.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c110.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.568747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over49c101.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.748353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over54c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5935…0161backed Over49c99.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c95.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.998853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over53c93.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.319257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over52c90.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…d3c2backed Under53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1c…db37backed Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac33…dbc9backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.644843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over53c72.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over54c67.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.623050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under46c61.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-77.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over52c49.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Under49c44.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under43c40.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.064454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over54c38.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under74c38.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under55c35.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.896050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.