Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa65e175845fd3c23c4a5696155c5dc9fea9f08ab5d2f015494b2578580cf0c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,224 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,509$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.82 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 22c | 1,250$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 49c | 1,082$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 33c | 1,042$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 67c | 902.71$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.05 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 67c | 824.93$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 71c | 422.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 10c | 321.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 31c | 317.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 26c | 159.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 67c | 149.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 68c | 131.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 120.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 12c | 120$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +399.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 67c | 113.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 33c | 102.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 33c | 102.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 33c | 86.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 28c | 59.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 54.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 30c | 46.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 32c | 35.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 28.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 45c | 25.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.