Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb5434e2d27edfb8b5a7af79c341405ffccf690e9eb992eadb3bc8d584aaeba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,815$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.59 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 54c | 1,221$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 25c | 888.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 697.6$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 586.44$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 55c | 499.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 41c | 462.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 451.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 56c | 346.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 36c | 274.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 251.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 21c | 235$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 48c | 194.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 178$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 51c | 175.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 65c | 155.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 124.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 41c | 122.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…2e0ebacked Under | 28c | 116.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 63c | 113.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 108.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 79c | 93.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…0161backed Over | 77c | 66.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 78c | 63.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 79c | 63.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 70c | 58.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 55.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 78c | 51.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 39c | 44.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 57c | 43.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 32c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +227.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…190abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…06c7backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 75c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.