Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667ac51cf971332a6e1e19a731d87fc446645612e3654d7ce13468c04e5aa877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,733 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…3d1fbacked No | 54c | 590.07$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 50c | 518.57$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 508.18$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 501.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 62c | 323.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.89 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 270.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 40c | 213.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 48c | 107.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 52c | 96.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 55c | 89.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 58c | 68.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Yes | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 59c | 50.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 26c | 47.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 59c | 42.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 43c | 35.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 34.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 32.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 31.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…3b37backed No | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked No | 46c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed No | 46c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked No | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 63c | 17.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.