TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,426 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes53c196,964$103,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,912.0318352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No48c77,290$37,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,171.574544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes56c39,641$22,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,1993354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c34,493$15,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,827.2637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c27,485$12,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,953.063,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No45c18,724$8,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,250.891250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No47c17,580$8,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,303.7251749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes51c10,416$5,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3126546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No48c7,600$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9521241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c6,766$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.481,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c5,923$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.528,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No45c5,461$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.315736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes51c5,322$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.3917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes76c4,634$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.6149449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No48c4,600$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3923148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c4,207$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.671,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No48c4,044$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.912450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2003360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8205259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No47c3,462$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.062751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No48c3,276$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.713151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.191758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c2,943$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No48c2,761$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.494845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No33c2,659$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.7214022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No20c2,557$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.8631349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No46c2,400$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28712741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No46c2,211$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c2,112$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.55,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Yes51c2,008$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes56c1,964$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No45c1,924$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No46c1,880$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.163151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No16c1,582$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.873,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No46c1,505$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.7614443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c1,500$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80239853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No48c1,498$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.7418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No22c1,286$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.6928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c1,174$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.41,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No32c972.05$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.81,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No46c923$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.424156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No23c879.68$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.687128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes51c873.11$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.297143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes63c818$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.341,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No46c666$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No46c640.07$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.8421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes56c570.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c460.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.431,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No48c439.29$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked No50c415.2$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No45c404.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2084153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4d…7fdbbacked No4c380.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+380.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No48c376$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No46c334$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2923354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No46c333.78$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.628231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed Yes55c331.53$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.863357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No48c309.24$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.85354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No48c276.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No34c274.18$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5810442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked No48c268$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No19c264.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes53c262.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.223250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes53c255.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c252$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4113545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c240.23$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.061,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes14c236.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.135819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No46c216.91$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3821359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No46c211.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No47c211.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.437450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.34231%13 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+82.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No49c197.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes15c184.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba5…f080backed No46c180.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No50c173.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.789361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…feccbacked Yes72c153.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7819460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked No49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.731566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c149.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.567548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes49c134$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.261060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…2347backed No46c129.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes62c125.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3427442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No48c120$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes20c119.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.754617.4%8 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No49c119.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6127053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.