Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LAZER vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b7f77c9267f2de7952414c74ebec12017eb102675cf78e3c453db0769eacf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof LAZER, Fuego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Fuego | 47c | 6,122$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.65 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked LAZER | 52c | 1,995$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LAZER | 54c | 1,975$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.25 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Fuego | 57c | 962.77$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Fuego | 51c | 949.3$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.91 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Fuego | 50c | 856.01$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed LAZER | 52c | 833.5$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LAZER | 46c | 559.19$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LAZER | 50c | 505.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked LAZER | 49c | 473.18$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed LAZER | 50c | 452.69$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked LAZER | 54c | 452.46$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.33 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed LAZER | 58c | 397.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Fuego | 48c | 300.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Fuego | 52c | 282.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fuego | 66c | 252.58$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked LAZER | 54c | 226.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked LAZER | 53c | 223.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LAZER | 53c | 222.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed LAZER | 50c | 218.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked LAZER | 51c | 211.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked LAZER | 52c | 207.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fuego | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…2033backed Fuego | 38c | 199.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked LAZER | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed LAZER | 54c | 188.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LAZER | 44c | 180.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked LAZER | 51c | 178.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fuego | 49c | 174.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed LAZER | 52c | 173.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…6cc2backed Fuego | 71c | 154.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LAZER | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Fuego | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Fuego | 46c | 139$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Fuego | 47c | 119.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…cd40backed LAZER | 52c | 111.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Fuego | 43c | 110.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…aab7backed Fuego | 49c | 98.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Fuego | 49c | 94.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed LAZER | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Fuego | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fuego | 48c | 83.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fuego | 44c | 78.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Fuego | 42c | 75.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed LAZER | 69c | 71.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Fuego | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…2a6bbacked Fuego | 77c | 59.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Fuego | 48c | 58.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked LAZER | 35c | 55.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked LAZER | 40c | 54.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LAZER | 51c | 52.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed LAZER | 52c | 52.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked LAZER | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed LAZER | 52c | 47.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LAZER | 52c | 45.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed LAZER | 53c | 44.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fuego | 50c | 42.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked LAZER | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked LAZER | 52c | 36.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Fuego | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed LAZER | 43c | 33.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed LAZER | 50c | 31.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed LAZER | 54c | 30.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Fuego | 49c | 28.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Fuego | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed LAZER | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Fuego | 42c | 26.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LAZER | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed LAZER | 47c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Fuego | 50c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked LAZER | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LAZER | 52c | 20.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked LAZER | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LAZER vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group Bthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: EXL (-1.5) vs Fuego (+1.5)Fuego won
- Valorant: LAZER vs Fuego - Map 2 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.