TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c24,096$24 inLost-$24.160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c6,496$36 inLost-$36.314348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes2c2,212$44 inLost-$44.2560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes5c2,042$100 inLost-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d50…5302backed Yes6c2,027$118 inLost-$118.21633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fa…d338backed Yes1c2,008$13 inLost-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c1,984$12 inLost-$11.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,693$68 inLost-$67.79229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked Yes11c1,396$150 inLost-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes14c1,373$199 inLost-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes4c1,164$47 inLost-$46.5811644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes3c718.06$22 inLost-$22.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes14c702.2$100 inLost-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Yes3c685.49$22 inLost-$22.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes12c683.78$85 inLost-$856142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed Yes6c538.74$31 inLost-$31.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes5c478.42$24 inLost-$24.274438.6%17 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d0…0d93backed Yes4c426.39$19 inLost-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed Yes5c389.98$20 inLost-$19.740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe267…5295backed Yes8c379.5$30 inLost-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes4c329$13 inLost-$12.644341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd733…571abacked Yes8c244.84$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1492…97dabacked Yes11c226.05$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee65…f75abacked Yes11c168.87$18 inLost-$18.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes11c150$16 inLost-$15.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…7f6dbacked Yes9c109.74$10 inLost-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed No78c50$39 inWon+$11.132630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.