NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c5b1e308bcfb19d48d3359bebd6680c4e9b4d72d4e1aff30f2eb3ce6935c9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Ak Bars Kazan, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 49c | 2,135$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 1,404$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.87 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Ak Bars Kazan | 8c | 621.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 51c | 299.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…d468backed Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 293.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Ak Bars Kazan | 29c | 281.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 240.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 226.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 220.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 199.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 40c | 161.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 21c | 135.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 133.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 114.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 46c | 100.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…dbdbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 21c | 96.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc2…fd4bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 95.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 92.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 84.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 62.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 62.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 56.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 44c | 51.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 27c | 37.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 35.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 33.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 32.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…8762backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 47c | 24.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…b9f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.