Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be09d63e4ca4c98dccc5ce1c45a47e3b4c1c9533510bd36b5154be0bfd8f707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience | 45c | 30,980$14,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,888.77 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 23,399$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Rune Eaters | 7c | 21,361$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.42 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.95 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Resilience | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.98 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 14,637$8,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,782.48 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 9,672$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 8,640$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.18 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Resilience | 55c | 6,872$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.52 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 6,158$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.39 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Team Resilience | 47c | 6,052$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.91 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 5,939$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.81 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 5,837$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.28 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 5,556$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.6 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 5,468$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.3 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 5,457$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Resilience | 42c | 5,440$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.87 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Resilience | 40c | 4,929$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 4,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Resilience | 45c | 4,421$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.07 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Resilience | 40c | 4,231$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.94 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 4,214$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.54 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 4,048$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.99 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Resilience | 57c | 3,865$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.04 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 3,310$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.26 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 3,186$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.59 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,989$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.23 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Resilience | 57c | 2,649$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.27 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 2,527$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.03 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 2,423$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 2,377$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.57 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Resilience | 57c | 2,300$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.83 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Resilience | 42c | 2,121$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.26 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Resilience | 40c | 2,118$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.5 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Resilience | 40c | 2,055$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience | 49c | 2,052$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.36 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience | 39c | 2,000$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.98 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,921$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.91 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Resilience | 42c | 1,870$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.39 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 8c | 1,650$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…3dd9backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 1,622$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,592$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.58 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience | 56c | 1,537$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.46 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 1,429$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.81 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,300$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.27 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 1,277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,265$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.67 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.9 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 1,169$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.25 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 1,072$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Resilience | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Resilience | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Resilience | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 930$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 903$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Rune Eaters | 5c | 883$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Resilience | 57c | 882$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.97 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 876.5$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.15 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 870$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.1 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 40c | 857.82$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Resilience | 49c | 819.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.89 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Resilience | 44c | 803.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Resilience | 39c | 740.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 737.02$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 702.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Resilience | 41c | 659.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.99 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 40c | 600$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Resilience | 78c | 599.74$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Resilience | 44c | 569.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 520$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 513.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Team Resilience | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Resilience | 39c | 493.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Resilience | 43c | 480.19$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Resilience | 45c | 465.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Team Resilience | 44c | 453.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Rune Eaters | 3c | 444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 427.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 384.44$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…ffd1backed Team Resilience | 53c | 376.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Team Resilience | 42c | 350$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 339$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 326.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Team Resilience | 40c | 309.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Team Resilience | 41c | 304.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 299.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 298.76$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 50c | 282.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.