Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36bb9b396c80185917c2a2fe00caa95d5879508b32024ff2d3bf522f21971b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 114,546$61,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,603.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Resilience | 45c | 48,568$21,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,712.5 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 28,935$15,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,242.3 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 23,025$10,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,034.51 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 11,917$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.61 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Resilience | 48c | 10,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.99 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Resilience | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 8,794$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.44 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d8…c3a5backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 7,787$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Resilience | 45c | 7,758$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.15 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 6,929$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.2 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Resilience | 74c | 6,093$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.9 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience | 44c | 6,000$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.67 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Resilience | 48c | 5,588$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Resilience | 45c | 5,211$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.04 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 4,974$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.45 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Resilience | 44c | 4,705$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.07 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 40c | 4,457$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 4,363$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.34 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 4,217$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.06 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 3,913$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.99 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 3,628$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.43 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 2,993$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,560$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.88 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 2,364$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.68 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience | 59c | 2,328$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.03 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 2,157$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.27 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Resilience | 40c | 2,090$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.53 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 65c | 2,052$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.73 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Resilience | 67c | 2,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 1,957$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.31 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Rune Eaters | 6c | 1,808$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Resilience | 78c | 1,674$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.14 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,637$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Resilience | 42c | 1,609$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.11 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Resilience | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 1,500$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Resilience | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 1,336$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,314$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,272$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.18 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…251cbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 1,253$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters | 3c | 1,123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Resilience | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed Team Resilience | 71c | 1,110$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Resilience | 55c | 1,035$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.75 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Resilience | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Resilience | 54c | 1,015$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.73 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Resilience | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience | 45c | 975.53$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 970$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 913.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.38 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Resilience | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Resilience | 59c | 876.92$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.92 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 867.03$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 839.84$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 812.27$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.67 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Resilience | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…98afbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 800$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Resilience | 46c | 780.36$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 763$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.13 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 739.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 64c | 733.5$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.92 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 719.84$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Team Resilience | 71c | 701$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Team Resilience | 49c | 664.95$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 660.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Resilience | 56c | 656.76$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Resilience | 62c | 650$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Resilience | 47c | 642.59$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.57 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Rune Eaters | 7c | 638.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience | 58c | 638.72$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.8 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 614$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.84 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…f67fbacked Rune Eaters | 2c | 567.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 551.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Resilience | 68c | 535.92$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Team Resilience | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 43c | 501.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.1 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Resilience | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Resilience | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team Resilience | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Resilience | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Resilience | 79c | 482.31$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 478.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 472.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 470$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 438.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 41c | 435.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Resilience | 46c | 429.72$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 429$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Team Resilience | 44c | 420$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Team Resilience | 48c | 414.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 413.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 411$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.