MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2efb9672a16681be7872f58007a7fc039e4de9393f868f3a403ac4d5ee499dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Orioles | 48c | 83,121$39,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,133.45 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 52c | 66,745$34,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,707.34 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Orioles | 66c | 34,498$22,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,703.76 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Guardians | 55c | 25,528$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 65c | 18,831$12,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.26 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Orioles | 47c | 16,598$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,797.04 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 61c | 12,307$7,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Guardians | 52c | 11,118$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.54 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 53c | 11,019$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.87 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 52c | 9,694$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 48c | 8,845$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.32 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Guardians | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 48c | 7,432$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.64 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Guardians | 38c | 6,624$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 53c | 6,258$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 44c | 5,390$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 54c | 5,353$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Orioles | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 51c | 4,601$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.81 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Orioles | 75c | 4,400$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 33c | 4,274$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.23 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 44c | 4,090$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.1 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 51c | 3,866$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.91 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 48c | 3,865$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.57 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Orioles | 77c | 3,020$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,939$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.48 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 47c | 2,885$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 53c | 2,685$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.94 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7193backed Guardians | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 42c | 2,268$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Guardians | 46c | 2,159$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Orioles | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 52c | 2,045$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…7c48backed Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Orioles | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 80c | 1,928$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.51 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Orioles | 43c | 1,819$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.24 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Guardians | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 47c | 1,487$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 54c | 1,459$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.85 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Guardians | 44c | 1,383$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Guardians | 52c | 1,305$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.84 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Guardians | 46c | 1,248$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.44 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Guardians | 51c | 1,209$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.37 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…aadabacked Orioles | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…51f9backed Orioles | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 53c | 1,179$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.1 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,136$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Guardians | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.87 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Orioles | 47c | 1,059$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.85 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…ddeabacked Guardians | 53c | 1,047$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 28c | 1,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Orioles | 46c | 999.99$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.66 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 52c | 962.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…c621backed Guardians | 53c | 953$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Orioles | 48c | 726.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Orioles | 48c | 708.92$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Guardians | 14c | 706.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 78c | 703.89$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 52c | 699.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Guardians | 38c | 693.81$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Guardians | 52c | 682.69$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Guardians | 59c | 680.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Orioles | 48c | 566.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Guardians | 49c | 560$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 20c | 550$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Guardians | 47c | 548.7$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Guardians | 54c | 528.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 31c | 527$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 47c | 525.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…1989backed Orioles | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Orioles | 60c | 496.95$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.78 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Guardians | 52c | 473.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Guardians | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Orioles | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Guardians | 37c | 450$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 53c | 431$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 52c | 421.06$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Guardians | 53c | 418.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.23 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Guardians | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 47c | 399.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Guardians | 53c | 375.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Orioles | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Orioles | 49c | 331.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Guardians | 34c | 328.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0e7fbacked Guardians | 51c | 325.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Orioles | 49c | 310$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Guardians | 23c | 305.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…fc33backed Orioles | 49c | 304.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…16d3backed Guardians | 52c | 286.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 53c | 278.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.