TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Rodri: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,820 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x907f…3f14backed No48c2,090$1,003 inWon+$1,086.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…771abacked Yes52c2,090$1,087 inLost-$1,086.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No49c392.07$194 inWon+$198.041,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Yes50c364$181 inLost-$180.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+79.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70ef…0cdebacked No48c117.9$56 inWon+$61.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes52c70$36 inLost-$36.41,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No49c43.26$21 inWon+$222,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost-$2029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No53c39$21 inWon+$18.339563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fa…8755backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost-$203333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc955…566abacked Yes51c37.26$19 inLost-$191010%1 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick48cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No50c36$18 inWon+$18.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes47c28.3$13 inLost-$13.36033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…3144backed No48c28.23$14 inWon+$14.683756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 99. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.